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Weekly Market Minute

Balanced Risks Support Three Rate Hikes in 2018

The Fed has communicated that it anticipates raising the federal funds rate three times in 2018, while the futures market implies only 2.5 hikes and many investors are calling for four moves. We fall into the three-hike camp.
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Vintage Risks in Closed-End Fund Structure

Many private real estate strategies are set up as closed-end vehicles, a type of fund structure that can expose investors to “vintage risk.” Vintage risk is the risk that a large portion of a real estate fund’s properties are acquired during a period of high prices, making it difficult to sell them for a gain...
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Our Macro View IV

For several years, we have referred to the US economy as a “caterpillar” economy. Since the 2008 Great Recession, the economy has inched along, alternately accelerating and decelerating, as it continues to steadily gain ground. For 2018, we foresee another year of caterpillar-like growth.
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The Role of Limited-Duration, Mid-Grade Bonds in Mitigating Risk and Maximizing Yield

The challenges of the current low-yield environment call for investing strategies beyond conventional rising-rate investment solutions. Fixed Income investors seeking higher income, principal protection, and risk mitigation should consider diversifying their bond holdings with a portfolio of low-duration, mid-grade securities.
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Central Bank Dilemma

How will the markets react when the central bankers begin to unwind their bond positions?
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Our Macro View I

Growth Continues on Trend; Outlook Cautiously Optimistic
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