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Insights Library

Elevated bond market volatility heading into the next FOMC meeting.

Over the last few months, we have been noting the shape of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. Expectations for more...
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Commercial Loan Maturities, Rising Rates, and Lease Expirations: A Perfect Storm?

As seen in a few headlines over the past weeks, there have been some large national real estate investors that...
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Durable goods and inventories are indicating a slowdown in demand.

A slowdown in consumer demand will likely have negative implications for the economy. Outside of retail sales or personal consumption...
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Housing data continued to decelerate which could negatively impact the broader economy.

Existing single-family home sales decelerated -0.83% m/m, its twelfth consecutive month in negative territory. On a y/y basis, existing single-family...
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Could the Federal Reserve’s March ‘dot plot’ move higher given recent economic data?

The aggressive path of the Federal Reserve’s tightening cycle is well documented, with the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) raising...
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Unpacking the latest retail sales, inventory, and industrial production data.

Retail and food services sales for the month of January accelerated 2.96% m/m, following -1.09% in December and -1.07% in...
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Bank lending conditions and borrower demand have reached levels that have historically only existed during prior periods of economic recessions.

The Federal Reserve conducts a quarterly survey with banks to get an update on lending conditions and borrower demand across...
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Payroll data for the month of January featured noteworthy statistical assumptions and seasonal adjustments.

The net one-month change in nonfarm payrolls, as reported by the Establishment Survey, was 517,000. The Household Survey reported an...
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