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April 6, 2022

Real durable goods orders are slowing alongside real incomes, which is causing inventory levels to rise in-line with a traditional business cycle slowdown.

Consumer spending, especially durable goods, spiked from the second quarter of 2020 to the second quarter of 2021.  This was aided by a combination of increased incomes via fiscal policy and a lack of an ability to engage in services activities because of COVID.  While incomes have started to come down (especially on a real...
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