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August 25, 2021

There was an increase in market volatility last week that was heavily impacted by the recent acceleration in the U.S. dollar exchange rate. While this is a concern, most of the market signals we monitor continue to suggest deflation and recession risks remain low.

Last week, we noted that market signals were going to be a helpful guide for determining investors’ expectations for the future state of economic growth and inflation.  Volatility increased last week, especially in commodities and currencies.  However, most market signals still suggest that the economy is not headed toward a recession or deflation. In the...
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