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February 14, 2024

The comparison set for CPI will continue to ease through June.

The Consumer Price Index decelerated to 3.1% y/y in January but remains above the Federal Reserve’s target level of inflation. Critically, as the y/y comparison set eases, there will be less downward pressure on the headline growth rate from a mathematical standpoint. To get CPI below 2.0% by the June FOMC meeting (May CPI will...
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