Day

December 17, 2019

Non-farm payrolls surprised to the upside in November, but that does not mean the economy has recovered.

The non-farm payroll report last week came in well above projected consensus estimates as private payrolls increased by 254,000.  This was received enthusiastically by investors and most commentators viewed the strong number as a sign that there is little chance of an economic recession in the near term.  Putting aside the high variability of any...
Read More